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Noel a little stronger as it approaches Hispaniola

Bulletin Tropical Storm Noel advisory number 5
National Hurricane Center Miami Fl 500 pm Sun Oct 28 2007

A tropical storm warning is recommended for the southern coast of the Dominican Republic from Barahona westward.

At 5:00 pm edt the tropical storm warning for haiti has been extended northward to include the entire coast of haiti. At 500 pm the government of Cuba has issued a tropical torm warning and a hurricane watch for portions of southeastern Cuba in the provinces of Granma, Santiago de Cuba, Guantanamo,and Holguin. A hurricane watch means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area generally within 36 hours.

A tropical storm watch remains in effect for Jamaica.

At 5:00 pm edt the center of tropical storm Noel was located near latitude 16.8 north, longitude 71.9 west or about 125 miles, 205 km south-southeast of Port au Prince Haiti and about 320 miles-515 km southeast of Guantanamo, Cuba. Noel is moving toward the north-northwest near 5 mph-7 km/hr.

A continued motion toward the north-northwest with a slight increase in forward speed is expected during the next 24 hours. On this track the center of Noel will move near or over southwestern Haiti tonight.

Reports from an air force hurricane hunter aircraft indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased and are now near 60 mph-95 km/hr with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 115 miles-185 km mainly to the north from the center. The minimum central pressure recently reported by the aircraft was 996 mb-29.41 inches.

Above normal tides are likely within the warning areas. Noel is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 8 to 12 inches over Hispaniola southeastern Cuba and Jamaica with possible isolated maximum totals of 20 inches.

Additional rainfall accumulations of 3 to 5 inches are expected over Puerto Rico during the next 24 hours. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at 800 pm edt followed by the next complete advisory at 1100 pm edt.

Source: National Hurricane Center, forecaster knabb

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