A recent survey released on Tuesday indicates that 54.6% of registered Latino voters in the United States intend to support Democratic candidates for Congress in the upcoming midterm elections on November 3. In contrast, only 32.5% plan to back Republicans, giving Democrats an advantage of approximately 22 percentage points.
The poll, conducted by the Latino Public Opinion Forum at Florida International University (FIU) in conjunction with YouGov, surveyed 1,539 registered Latino voters between October 9 and 19, with a margin of error of ±2.7 percentage points.
President Donald Trump’s approval rating among Latinos stands at a mere 32.9% nationally, according to data released by EFE, marking his lowest level of support among this demographic since his second term began.
The Hispanic community is overshadowed by economic pessimism, with 64.6% believing the country is on the "wrong track" and 57.2% citing inflation or the cost of living as their primary concern.
Trump's performance on inflation is particularly weak, with only 24% of Latinos approving of how he has handled the issue, the lowest rating among all topics assessed in the survey.
Immigration policies have also met with widespread disapproval: 64.7% feel that enforcement has "gone too far," and 41.4% express fear of detention or deportation.
More than six in ten Latinos believe the Trump administration has "harmed Latino families" (60.7%) and shows "little to no respect for the Latino community" (63.3%).
Regarding specific immigration policy preferences, 82% support requiring a court order to enter homes, 77% endorse a pathway to citizenship, and only 29% favor deporting all undocumented individuals.
In Florida, where Latinos have historically shown more support for Trump, the trend aligns with national results, albeit with narrower margins: 47.5% would vote for Democratic candidates for the House compared to 38.5% for Republicans, and the president's approval among the state's Hispanics reaches 39.8%.
In state races, Democrat David Jolly holds an initial 4.3-point lead over Republican Byron Donalds for governor, and Democrat Angie Nixon is ahead by 3.4 points against Republican Ashley Moody for the Senate, though both gaps fall within the ±4.8 percentage point margin of error for the Florida sample.
However, among Cuban-American voters in Florida, Donalds leads by nine points—51% to 42% over Jolly—according to a separate poll conducted by N+Univision/YouGov and released on October 22.
This shift contrasts with the historical gains Trump made among Latinos in the 2024 presidential elections, where he achieved between 42% and 46% of the Hispanic vote, the best Republican result since George W. Bush in 2004.
A UnidosUS survey from May 2026 had already suggested that one in four Latinos who voted for Trump in 2024 would not support him again.
Eduardo Gamarra, director of the LPOF at FIU, clarified that the data "reflects more a disengagement from the Republicans than an automatic return to the Democratic Party," a warning that strategists from both parties should heed before November 3.
Key Insights into Latino Voter Trends
What percentage of Latino voters plan to support Democratic candidates?
According to the survey, 54.6% of registered Latino voters intend to support Democratic candidates for Congress.
How do Latino voters feel about President Trump's performance?
Only 32.9% of Latino voters approve of President Trump's performance, marking his lowest approval rating among this group since his second term began.
What are the main concerns of the Latino community according to the survey?
The main concerns for the Latino community include the country's direction, with 64.6% believing it is on the wrong track, and inflation or the cost of living, as cited by 57.2% of respondents.
How do Latinos view Trump's immigration policies?
Trump's immigration policies face significant disapproval, with 64.7% of Latinos feeling enforcement has gone too far and 41.4% fearing detention or deportation.