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Hurricane Melissa's Potentially Catastrophic Impact: A Warning from the Deputy Director of the U.S. National Hurricane Center

Sunday, October 26, 2025 by Daniel Vasquez

Jamie Rhome, the Deputy Director of the U.S. National Hurricane Center (NHC), has issued a stark warning regarding the potentially catastrophic consequences of Hurricane Melissa.

In a social media update, Rhome described the developing event as aligning with forecasts, emphasizing its potentially devastating nature.

The formidable hurricane, classified as a Category 4 on the Saffir-Simpson scale, is poised to possibly strengthen even further before making its way over Jamaica in the coming days.

Rhome predicted that Jamaica might experience the hurricane's effects for up to 24 hours, with tropical storm conditions persisting for two or three days.

He noted that Jamaica faces the risk of over three feet of rain in certain areas, particularly in densely mountainous regions, almost certain to result in severe flooding.

Hurricane conditions are expected to settle over the island during this period.

“From a Jamaican perspective, conditions will deteriorate rapidly,” Rhome warned.

He also forecasted extreme flash flooding in eastern Cuba as the hurricane's center moves in that direction.

Hurricane Melissa's Path and Intensification

Hurricane Melissa is projected to intensify throughout Monday, with landfall expected in eastern Cuba by Tuesday night.

According to the NHC's 2 PM Sunday advisory, Hurricane Melissa was pinpointed near latitude 16.4 North and longitude 76.9 West.

The Category 4 hurricane is advancing westward at approximately 5 mph (7 km/h). A slow westward movement is anticipated for the remainder of Sunday, followed by a turn to the north and northeast on Monday and Tuesday.

Melissa's core is set to pass near or over Jamaica on Tuesday and move across southeastern Cuba by Tuesday night, subsequently reaching the Bahamas by Wednesday.

Sustained winds are currently near 140 mph (220 km/h), with even higher gusts.

The NHC anticipates further intensification on Monday, with potential fluctuations in strength.

“Melissa is expected to remain a major powerful hurricane when it impacts Jamaica on Monday night or Tuesday morning and southeastern Cuba late Tuesday,” the advisory states.

Hurricane conditions are possible in the eastern Cuba watch area from Tuesday through Wednesday.

The storm's hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from its center.

When Melissa strikes eastern Cuba, it could bring total rainfall accumulations of 10 to 15 inches, with isolated amounts reaching 20 inches from Tuesday through Wednesday.

This heavy rainfall could lead to sudden flooding and numerous landslides.

Hurricane Melissa's Impact and Preparedness FAQs

What is the current status of Hurricane Melissa?

Hurricane Melissa is currently a Category 4 storm on the Saffir-Simpson scale, with sustained winds near 140 mph (220 km/h) and is showing potential for further intensification.

What areas are expected to be most affected by Hurricane Melissa?

Jamaica and eastern Cuba are expected to face the most significant impact, with heavy rainfall and strong winds leading to potential flooding and landslides.

How should residents in affected areas prepare for Hurricane Melissa?

Residents should secure their homes, have emergency supplies ready, and follow local authorities' instructions for evacuations or sheltering in place.

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