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Cuba's Shift to a Market Economy: Urgent and Unavoidable

Monday, October 6, 2025 by Isabella Rojas

Cuba's Shift to a Market Economy: Urgent and Unavoidable
Cuba Year 2030 - Image © Gemini IA

The rise of the private sector in Cuba, with over 11,000 small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) now registered, hundreds of thousands of jobs created, and a growing role in the provision of goods and services, showcases that individual initiative is currently the most dynamic force amidst the crisis. This expansion highlights that where the state fails, Cuban entrepreneurs fill crucial gaps.

A report from the Cuba Study Group underscores the private sector's growing influence in the Cuban economy: it accounts for 31.2% of employment, contributes 23% of tax revenue, and dominates 55% of retail trade. Its impact on the domestic market positions it as one of the key pillars supporting the country's economic functionality.

The Stranglehold of State Control

Despite these advancements, the Cuban government continues to stifle SMEs with excessive bureaucracy, burdensome taxes, irrational regulations, and controls that hinder their growth. Simultaneously, it clings to the outdated message of the supposed significance of socialist enterprises, which have become synonymous with inefficiency and decay.

After more than six decades of socialist centralism, Cuba stands at a crossroads: continue sinking deeper into crisis or make the definitive leap towards a market economy. This transition is not only inevitable; the sooner it happens, the better the living conditions will be for most Cubans.

The Failure of Centralized Planning

The Cuban economic model, rooted in state planning and the absolute control of productive sectors, has repeatedly proven its inefficiency. Constant shortages, rampant inflation, endless blackouts, water scarcity, fiscal deficits, and lack of foreign exchange define everyday life. Mass emigration is perhaps the harshest testament: millions of young people see no future within a system that offers no opportunities.

The model was ineffective even under the massive subsidies from the USSR and CMEA. Shortages have been widespread since the revolution's inception. Ration books for food and industrial products were not inventions of the 1990s following the fall of the socialist bloc; in socialist Cuba, rationing has always existed: if you bought socks, you didn't get underwear.

A Legacy of Deprivation and Inequality

National textile productions, managed by state enterprises, often ended up stored because no one wanted to use them: unattractive, styleless, and poor-quality clothing. Products outside the basic basket were considered a luxury; acquiring beef or beer was always an epic endeavor for the average citizen. Lobster was like science fiction. Buying a car was reserved for a select group of "vanguard" workers.

The Cuban socialist system dismantled the market economy, and the advent of the socialist enterprise, rather than boosting productivity, created a system specialized in rationing scarcity and destroying nationalized factories and businesses.

State workers have long been the clearest reflection of this failure. I still remember my first "salary" of 198 pesos in 1992, when the dollar exceeded 120 Cuban pesos. Salaries in Cuba have always been a joke. Evidence of this has always been before us: surgeons becoming taxi drivers, engineers turning into bartenders, or scientists making satellite dishes.

Time for a Change

Today, although the government has nominally increased salaries, partly due to inflation caused by this very increase, they remain insufficient and pale compared to the earnings of those working in the private sector or receiving remittances.

The regime insists that expanding market space will create inequality. However, the truth is there has never been more inequality than now: between those with access to dollars and those relying solely on state salaries, between those receiving remittances and those surviving on an increasingly empty ration book.

Private entrepreneurs pay and will continue to pay better wages because they need motivated and productive workers, not slaves. This means thousands of state employees, currently subsidized without creating real value, could find better incomes and living conditions in the private sector.

This transition would not only benefit workers but also free the state from carrying bloated, unproductive payrolls or trying to maintain outdated factories. Resources currently wasted on maintaining fictitious payrolls and painting crumbling walls could be redirected to improve pensions, strengthen the healthcare system, and rescue social services that are currently falling apart.

The real dilemma is not whether Cuba will move to a market economy, but when and under what conditions. Every year of delay multiplies poverty, destroys infrastructure, and forces more families to separate due to emigration.

The Cuban people deserve a future of opportunities, not endless lines, blackouts, and symbolic wages. The sooner the country makes the leap towards a market model, with clear rules, fair wages, and a state focused on guaranteeing rights instead of managing ruins, the greater the chances of rebuilding the economy and offering well-being.

The transition is unavoidable. Delaying it only prolongs the misery. Advancing it is the only way to save Cuba.

Key Questions About Cuba's Economic Future

Why is the transition to a market economy considered inevitable for Cuba?

The transition is seen as inevitable because the current centralized economic model has consistently failed to provide prosperity or opportunity, leading to widespread shortages, inflation, and emigration. A market economy is viewed as a way to stimulate growth and improve living conditions.

How has the private sector impacted Cuba's economy?

The private sector has become a crucial component of Cuba's economy, generating 31.2% of employment, contributing 23% of tax revenue, and dominating 55% of retail trade, thus playing a key role in economic functionality despite state-imposed challenges.

What are the main obstacles faced by private businesses in Cuba?

Private businesses in Cuba face obstacles such as excessive bureaucracy, high taxes, arbitrary regulations, and state controls that hinder their growth and development.

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