A tropical wave situated in the northeastern Caribbean Sea is showing increased potential for development and might impact eastern Cuba in the coming days. The United States' National Hurricane Center (NHC), based in Miami, confirmed on Wednesday that the wave, currently identified as AL94, is generating disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
The NHC noted, "This wave is expected to move west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph, bringing heavy rainfall and gusty winds to Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands today, and across the Dominican Republic starting tonight." The system is anticipated to slow down and shift northwestward as it approaches the southwestern Atlantic later this week.
Environmental conditions are forecasted to become more conducive for development in a few days, with a tropical depression likely to form when the disturbance nears the Bahamas. Residents in the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic, Turks and Caicos Islands, and the Bahamas should keep a close watch on the progress of this system.
Currently, the likelihood of cyclone formation within the next 48 hours remains low at 30%, but it increases significantly to 80% over the next seven days. Cuban meteorologists are closely monitoring the system.
Additionally, the NHC is observing another active tropical wave in the Atlantic with a high probability of becoming a tropical depression. However, it currently poses no threat to Cuba. Should these two tropical waves evolve into hurricanes, the first would be named Humberto and the second Imelda, according to the official list of Atlantic tropical storm names for the 2025 hurricane season.
Frequently Asked Questions about Tropical Waves and Their Impact
What is the current status of the tropical wave AL94?
AL94 is currently producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms as it moves west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph.
Which areas are expected to be affected by AL94?
AL94 is expected to bring heavy rainfall and gusty winds to Puerto Rico, the Virgin Islands, and the Dominican Republic.
What are the chances of AL94 developing into a cyclone?
There is a 30% chance of cyclone formation in the next 48 hours, which increases to 80% over the next seven days.