A tropical wave currently situated in the central Atlantic is making its way westward towards the Caribbean Sea, as reported by the National Hurricane Center (NHC). Current meteorological data indicates that this wave is generating a small area of rainfall, though environmental conditions are only slightly favorable for development. The likelihood of this system evolving into a tropical depression is decreasing.
The tropical wave is expected to move westward at a speed ranging from 10 to 15 miles per hour. Forecasts suggest it may approach the Lesser Antilles by the middle of next week. As the wave continues on its path, it is anticipated to pick up speed, reaching rates of 10-15 knots. Residents in the Lesser Antilles are advised to stay alert to the wave's progression and possible effects.
In addition to this system, another tropical wave is located in the central Caribbean, positioned along 71 degrees west longitude, between the island of Hispaniola and northwestern Venezuela. This wave is also moving westward, exhibiting scattered convection.
Meanwhile, in the Gulf of Mexico, an area of low pressure combined with several surface troughs is leading to isolated showers and thunderstorms. A cold front is projected to reach the northern Gulf at the start of next week.
Cuban meteorologist Christian Jesús Muñiz Carrillo has highlighted that the hurricane season is entering its most active phase. Historically, September is the peak month for hurricane formation in the Atlantic. Between 1950 and 2023, nine hurricanes have made landfall in Cuba during September.
Based on records from 1851 to 2024, there have been 264 tropical cyclones formed in the North Atlantic basin during the first ten days of September. Carrillo also noted that cyclone formation this month generally occurs in the western tropical Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea, the Gulf of Mexico, and the central and western Atlantic.
Frequently Asked Questions About Tropical Waves and Hurricanes
What is a tropical wave?
A tropical wave is a type of atmospheric trough, often characterized by increased cloudiness and showers. It is a common weather feature in the tropics, and under certain conditions, it can develop into a tropical cyclone.
Why is September a peak month for hurricanes?
September is historically the peak month for hurricanes due to optimal conditions in the Atlantic, such as warm sea surface temperatures and favorable atmospheric patterns, which are conducive to cyclone formation.