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Potential Cyclonic Threat: Tropical Wave Could Develop into Storm Aiming for the Caribbean

Saturday, September 6, 2025 by Emma Garcia

Potential Cyclonic Threat: Tropical Wave Could Develop into Storm Aiming for the Caribbean
Tropical Wave - Image © NHC

A broad low-pressure area linked to a tropical wave over the eastern Atlantic is keeping meteorologists on high alert due to its significant potential to transform into a tropical depression or storm in the coming days, with a trajectory pointing towards the Caribbean.

The National Hurricane Center (NHC), noting the system as AL91, has indicated that it is currently situated in the eastern tropical Atlantic, producing a disorganized cluster of showers and thunderstorms. The atmospheric conditions are conducive for cyclonic development, possibly escalating into a tropical depression by the weekend or early next week, as it slowly moves westward at speeds of 5 to 10 miles per hour.

The NHC's Friday morning report warned that "this system is likely to be near the Lesser Antilles by mid to late next week." The likelihood of cyclonic formation is calculated at 60% over the next 48 hours and 90% within the next seven days, prompting active monitoring by meteorological services and authorities across the Caribbean region.

As of yet, the system lacks an official name or status as a tropical depression. However, its potential development and path necessitate vigilance among residents of the Lesser Antilles and other Caribbean islands as it progresses in the coming days.

There is growing concern in Cuba as forecasts increasingly include the island within the potential cone of this looming tropical cyclone. The NHC reminded the public that information provided in Spanish is an automatic translation, and the original English version remains the authoritative source for official purposes and specialized tracking.

Key Questions about the Tropical Wave and Its Potential Impact

What is the current status of the tropical wave mentioned by the NHC?

The tropical wave, identified as AL91, is presently over the eastern tropical Atlantic, producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. It has a high potential to develop into a tropical depression or storm.

What is the probability of this system developing into a tropical depression or storm?

There is a 60% chance of development over the next 48 hours and a 90% chance within the next week, according to the National Hurricane Center.

When is the system expected to approach the Caribbean?

The system could be near the Lesser Antilles by mid to late next week, as per current projections by the NHC.

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