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Currency Fluctuations Signal Turmoil in Cuban Exchange Market

Friday, May 23, 2025 by Henry Cruz

The informal currency market in Cuba is experiencing significant unrest. As of Friday morning, the Freely Convertible Currency (FCC), which many predict may soon vanish, has surged by five Cuban Pesos (CUP), reaching 265 CUP, according to the daily update from the independent outlet elTOQUE. The U.S. dollar and the euro have maintained their values from Thursday, with the American currency priced at 370 CUP and the European one at 390 CUP.

Examining the median values recorded over the past 24 hours reveals ongoing instability in foreign currencies, a trend observed in recent days. Notably, the euro's average selling price has climbed to 395 CUP. Time will tell if this increase will stabilize in the coming hours.

Exchange Rates for May 23, 2025 - 7:00 a.m. in Cuba:

- U.S. Dollar (USD) to CUP: 370 CUP

- Euro (EUR) to CUP: 390 CUP

- FCC to CUP: 265 CUP

Outlook for Cuba's Informal Currency Market this Month

The latest report from the Cuban Observatory of Currencies and Finances (OMFi) indicates that both the dollar and euro have risen with relative stability in recent days. However, a potential plateau is expected due to a growing willingness to sell, noticeable since early May.

Cuban economist Pavel Vidal, based in Colombia, warns that a temporary excess supply of dollars might halt the upward trend seen since March. His forecast for the month's end suggests exchange rates of 357-368 pesos per dollar and 372-383 pesos per euro, while the FCC could range from 255-265 pesos.

Despite the predicted slowdown, the report highlights that dollarization is driving a heightened demand for the U.S. dollar. This trend poses serious challenges for citizens, including increased costs for goods sold by private businesses importing in foreign currencies and selling in pesos, leading to price hikes for profit.

The growing reliance on dollars exacerbates the divide between those with access to foreign currency and those without. Amidst this scenario, worsened by persistent and prolonged blackouts, experts advise those with foreign currency access to retain it while not neglecting the national currency.

Conversion Rates for U.S. Dollars and Euros to Cuban Pesos

U.S. Dollar (USD) to Cuban Peso (CUP), as per May 23 exchange rates:

- USD 1 = 370 CUP

- USD 5 = 1850 CUP

- USD 10 = 3700 CUP

- USD 20 = 7400 CUP

- USD 50 = 18500 CUP

- USD 100 = 37000 CUP

Euros (EUR):

- EUR 1 = 390 CUP

- EUR 5 = 1950 CUP

- EUR 10 = 3900 CUP

- EUR 20 = 7800 CUP

- EUR 50 = 19500 CUP

- EUR 100 = 39000 CUP

- EUR 200 = 78000 CUP

Cubans closely monitor the informal exchange rates of the dollar, euro, and FCC, as these rates directly impact their true purchasing power amidst an economy plagued by scarcity and inflation.

The volatility of exchange rates in Cuba compels many island residents to carefully track the informal market's movements, seeking strategies to safeguard their purchasing power against the devaluation of the national currency.

Understanding Cuba's Currency Exchange Dynamics

Why is the Freely Convertible Currency (FCC) significant in Cuba?

The FCC is crucial because it provides an alternative to the national currency, offering Cubans a means to access international markets and goods that require foreign currencies.

What challenges do Cubans face due to the currency market's instability?

The instability leads to increased prices for imported goods, exacerbates the economic divide between those with and without access to foreign currencies, and imposes financial strains on citizens.

How can Cubans protect their purchasing power amidst currency fluctuations?

Cubans can protect their purchasing power by closely monitoring exchange rates, retaining foreign currencies when possible, and making informed decisions about currency exchanges.

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