Amidst a global economic environment fraught with trade uncertainties, escalating tariffs, and recession fears, Walmart has delivered a reassuring message to its customers: It will keep prices low, uphold its growth targets, and leverage new income streams to bolster its stability.
Resilience in the Face of Uncertainty
During a two-day investor meeting in Dallas, Walmart reaffirmed its fiscal year projections ending in January 2026. The company anticipates net sales to grow between 3% and 4% and adjusted operating income to increase by 3.5% to 5.5%, according to Reuters. Following the announcement, Walmart's shares rose by 3% to 5% in early trading, which analysts interpreted as a sign of confidence.
"The outlook was better than expected given the current environment... Maintaining their forecasts is seen as positive," stated Michael Baker, an analyst at DA Davidson, as quoted by the news agency.
Commitment to Low Prices: Consumer Reassurance
Walmart CEO Doug McMillon emphasized the company’s commitment to its consumers, saying, "We've learned to manage through turbulent times... While we don't know everything that's going to happen, we do know our priorities and purpose, and we'll focus on keeping prices as low as possible."
This sentiment was echoed by CFO John David Rainey, who noted that the company aims to "maintain flexibility to invest in price reductions as tariffs take effect," as reported by CNN. "We see opportunities to accelerate market share gains while maintaining flexibility to invest in prices as tariffs on incoming goods are applied," he added.
Trump's Tariff Threat
The backdrop to these decisions is Donald Trump's new trade offensive, imposing a 10% tariff on all countries and even higher levies on dozens of nations, including a 104% tariff on Chinese products. China accounts for roughly 60% of Walmart's imports. Despite this, Walmart has decided to stick to its strategy.
The company stated that "nothing in the current environment has changed its strategy." However, it acknowledged that the range of first-quarter outcomes has widened due to volatility and the need to adjust prices. "Operating income has become harder to predict," Rainey noted, citing weakness in general merchandise sales and week-to-week variations.
Competitive Edge and Operational Scale
Many analysts agree that Walmart is better equipped than other retailers to weather this tariff storm. "Walmart is leveraging its scale advantage, technological capabilities, and supply chain prowess to lead in a time of increased uncertainty," explained Greg Melich, an analyst at Evercore ISI, as reported by CNN. Melich added that although Walmart "is not immune to pressure, it will manage volatility better than most."
Similarly, Barclays analyst Seth Sigman highlighted that Walmart has more tools than others to negotiate with suppliers, absorb costs, and attract consumers seeking low prices.
Walmart+: Loyalty, Data, and Profitability
As it navigates global uncertainty, Walmart has found a growth pillar in Walmart+, its membership program, which has become a key source of income and customer loyalty. According to company data shared with CNBC, program members accounted for nearly 50% of digital spending in the U.S. during the last fiscal year.
"Walmart+ is a frequency driver," stated Seth Dallaire, chief growth officer, adding that an increase in subscriber spending and solid growth in sign-ups have been observed, thanks to tools like Walmart+ Assist, offering discounted memberships to those receiving government aid.
In addition to strengthening customer loyalty, Walmart+ allows the company to obtain valuable data to guide product decisions and attract advertisers, a high-margin and expanding business. Although official figures have not been disclosed, Consumer Intelligence Research Partners estimates that Walmart+ had 25 million members by the end of January 2025, more than double from 2022, though still well below Amazon Prime's 190 million.
Walmart also announced Walmart+ Week, starting April 28, featuring exclusive member promotions such as fuel discounts and free Burger King sandwiches.
The Rise of E-commerce
The impact of Walmart+ is also reflected in the company’s digital performance: It has recorded 11 consecutive quarters of double-digit growth in online sales in the U.S., with a 20% increase in the most recent quarter. This trend reinforces the company's omnichannel strategy and its ability to compete against Amazon in the digital arena.
With a combination of scale, efficiency, low prices, and diversified income, Walmart stands out as one of the best-positioned companies to navigate the new global trade landscape, according to several analysts.
Walmart's Strategy and Global Trade Landscape
How is Walmart responding to the global tariff crisis?
Walmart is maintaining its commitment to low prices and strengthening its growth targets, leveraging new income streams, and focusing on its membership program Walmart+ to bolster stability amidst the tariff crisis.
What is the impact of Walmart+ on the company's strategy?
Walmart+ has become a key source of income and customer loyalty, driving digital spending and enabling the company to gather valuable data for product decisions and attract advertisers.
How does Walmart's scale give it an advantage in the current market?
Walmart's scale allows it to negotiate effectively with suppliers, absorb costs, and attract consumers looking for low prices, providing a competitive edge over other retailers.