In a series of recent columns and in his recent television appearance, the Cuban Leader Fidel Castro has been warning of plans for an Israeli attack on Iran and the dangers of nuclear war breaking out as a result.

Yesterday the prestigious Oxford Research Group published a new report by Professor Paul Rogers (who correctly predicted the consequences of the U.S.attack on Iraq) that concluded that such an attack, which is almost certainly being planned, would lead to a protracted war without solving the Iran nuclear controversy.

* Such a protracted war would have devastating consequences for the small,largely tourism-dependent and energy-dependent economies of the Caribbean..*